March 27, 2026
MSD Weekly Market Update: Week Ending March 27, 2026
The past week was relatively devoid of high-impact data, and market direction was largely dictated by Mideast war news. The market’s pricing of the Fed, meanwhile, has shifted notably upward in the past month; please see herein for more information. The week ahead serves a busy slate of data, highlighted by the end-of-week monthly jobs report, generally considered the most influential datasets for markets. Note that next Friday is Good Friday and an early market close; we encourage members to connect with us on timing and best execution related to this timeframe. The Mideast war should continue to be the dominant driver of markets, and it is an uncertain dynamic. Indeed, prediction markets, as of Thursday, price the odds of a ceasefire by the end of April at ~”50-50”.